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#1 10.12.2018 07:44:23

liny195
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Bucs 2017 Routes Snapshot

Tampa Bay Buccaneers Hoodie , Part 4: Defense Previously, in Parts One and Two, we looked at the receivers. In Part 3, we looked at quarterback Jameis Winston. In Part 4, we’ll look at the defense, which was the worst in the NFL last year, finishing 32nd in DVOA. They ranked 31st against the pass, with a DVOA of 26.4 percent, and 19th against the rush at -5.1 percent. Unlike previous entries focused on the offense where the higher the DVOA the better, for defenses it’s the opposite; the lower the DVOA, the better. So how did the Bucs defense do last season against the twelve most common routes, and can the results tell us anything?Curl - (-0.6 percent)The defense ranked 18th vs curl routes with a 5.1 percent DVOA. While they allowed a below-average catch rate, the yards per attempt allowed (ypa) was 7.0, higher than average. Out - (-7.1 percent)The Bucs were fifth-best in defending the quick out with a -18.9 percent DVOA, giving up 6.1 ypa. Dig - (7.6 percent)They ranked ninth here, with a DVOA of -15.2 percent. They gave up 8.5 ypa, but they allowed catches at twelve percent higher than the league average. Slant - (7.2 percent)More touchdown passes were off slants than any other route last season. The Bucs rank 21st here with a bad 12.6 percent DVOA. While the ypa allowed was lower than the league average, the catch percentage was higher. Drag - (-9.6 percent)Despite Winston being a good drag route thrower, the defense is poor at defending them. They ranked 28th with a 35.5 percent DVOA, far worse than the league average. Their yards per attempt allowed is a full yard higher than average and their catch percentage allowed is 16 percent worse than the average. If I had to guess I’d say the linebackers could do a better job in coverage. Go/Fly - (5.8 percent)The go/fly route is a huge problem for the offense, but what about the defense? Here they rank 16th with a 9.6 percent DVOA. They only faced 12 such attempts last season, perhaps in part because the quarters coverage is designed to take away big plays. The ypa allowed was higher than the average, but not by much. It connects about a quarter of the time, but the Bucs gave it up about a third of the time. WR Screen - (-27.5 percent)The Bucs were the fourth-best defense against screens, with a DVOA of -66.5 percent! They faced 25 screen attempts and gave up an average of just 3.2 yards per attempt. Post - (36.1 percent)The post is the only other route besides the slant to yield at least 60 touchdown passes last season. The Bucs faced 27 post attempts, and gave up an average of four yards less than the average. They helped them rank seventh-best with a DVOA of -25.7 percent. That’s almost 62 percent better than an average defense would be expected to allow. They also gave up about half of the expected yards after the catch. But, there’s a pretty big disclaimer here:Comeback - (-6.6 percent)We know Winston to Evans is unstoppable on this route Customized Tampa Bay Buccaneers Jerseys , and it hurts the Bucs that they have Julio Jones in their division. Perhaps that’s why they ranked 24th, giving up 31.3 percent per-play worse than average. Their 8.9 ypa allowed is two full yards worse than average, and the catch percentage is eight percent worse. Broken Play - (-12.6 percent)The Bucs surprisingly rank in the top ten yet again, this time eighth with a DVOA of -66.2 percent. Football Outsiders (FBO) counts eleven of these attempts against the Bucs last season, and they allowed about a full yard less than the average. FBO had this to add though:Why do you think the Bucs faced the same amount of broken plays as the Eagles, despite the two teams having wildly different pass rushes?Fade - (-12.5 percent)Despite the Buccaneers having tiny cornerbacks last season in Brent Grimes and Vernon Hargreaves, teams attempted just two fade routes against the Bucs last season. One of them was completed, and the high variance from the incredibly small sample size ranks the Bucs 30th with a 51.4 percent DVOA. I don’t think we can place too much on these results, though I’d probably guess that opponents didn’t really have to rely on a low-percentage play like the fade when other routes were often open. Seam - (27 percent)Lastly, we have the seam route. Against, quarters coverage, putting speed in the slot and running a seam can be problematic as it can match-up a receiver on a safety. While the Bucs only faced eleven seam routes last season, that could be why they finished 24th with a 75.5 percent DVOA, far worse than average. Their catch percentage was nearly twenty points worse than average. Conclusion:When you add up all of Tampa Bay’s DVOA rankings and average them out, the Bucs come out ranked a surprising 15th! But how is that possible? Well, the pass rush last season was just that bad:The Bucs tried to entirely revamp their defensive line this offseason. They signed Vinny Curry, Beau Allen, and Mitch Unrein in free agency, traded for Jason Pierre-Paul, and then drafted nose tackle Vita Vea with the 12th pick in this year’s draft. Defensive tackle Jerel Worthy also just made the initial 53-man roster.Improving the defensive line is also the fastest (but not only) way to improve a defense. But, this conversation wouldn’t be complete without acknowledging that the Bucs wouldn’t have been in the position of having to sign several players in free agency and trade for a player just to field a competent defensive line if they had drafted and developed properly. That’s something this staff will need to do a much better job of going forward. A lot of these veterans are just patches or short-term answers, and Gerald McCoy, while still explosive and an elite 3-tech when healthy, is on the wrong side of 30. For a player whose game is dependent on his quick-twitch explosiveness, the Bucs are on borrowed time, and have to get this unit fixed sooner rather than later. Hopefully that comes this year. What an ugly two weeks for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. That’s really all you can say. After fighting back to get to 3-3 against Cleveland, the Bucs have fallen right on their faces in losses to Cincinnati and Carolina. Losses this team couldn’t afford. Plain and simple www.authenticstampabaybuccaneers.com , they’ve started slowly in each of the last two games and that’s led to Tampa Bay’s demise. With the state of the defense, Tampa Bay’s offense has to get off to better starts.Instead, they’ve been limited to 9 and 14 points in the first half while scoring zero points in the first quarter in the defeats to the Bengals and Panthers. It’s an area that the coaching staff should hone in on going forward. Winners1. Adam HumphriesAdam Humphries had his best game of the season against Carolina and scored his first two touchdowns of 2018. The former Clemson star caught eight passes on his eight targets for 82 yards and two scores. He also rushed once for seven yards. It’s the second straight game where Humphries has found himself heavily involved in the passing attack. He has recorded 76+ yards in three of the last four games. Humphries has been a nice check down target for both Jameis Winston and Ryan Fitzpatrick. 2. Carl NassibThe former Hard Knocks personality has been a nice addition to a struggling Buccaneers defense. After starting against Cleveland and Cincinnati, Nassib was back in his reserve role with Vinny Curry healthy.That didn’t stop him from making an impact. Nassib made a tackle on third down on the Panthers first possession to force a three and out. Later, he had a sack on Cam Newton that helped Tampa Bay force its second straight three and out to begin the second half.Nassib has recorded his only three sacks of the 2018 season in the last three games. 3. O.J. HowardOJ Howard had the second multi-touchdown game of his career on Sunday against the Panthers. The only other time he did it was back during his rookie year in a loss to Buffalo.Howard caught four passes for 53 yards and two scores against Carolina. Surprisingly, it was his lowest output thus far in 2018 as the tight end is beginning to develop into a consistent threat for the Bucs.He’s on pace for 56 catches, 944 yards, and 10 touchdowns. That’d be around the numbers of some of the top tight ends in the league. Losers1. Mark DuffnerTampa Bay’s defense played great against Cleveland in its first game with Duffner at the helm. They allowed no points in the first half and the Browns only scored due to a safety. The game would wind up going in the Bucs favor, 26-23.Since then, wow, they’ve reverted back to their Mike Smith form. Tampa Bay’s defense allowed 27 points in the first half to Cincinnati and a whopping 35 to Carolina. Fun fact, in five losses this season, the Buccaneers have allowed at least 24 points in the opening half. In the three wins? They’ve allowed 24 points in the first half just once.Something has got to change, because right now, Tampa Bay is on pace to fire its second defensive coordinator of the season. 2. Dirk KoetterThe Buccaneers are currently in last place in the NFC South and sit at No. 12 in the conference. This season hasn’t gone anything like Dirk Koetter or his staff planned for. At the halfway point, Tampa Bay has already piled up five losses. Despite a high-octane offense, the defense is just too porous to have success. It feels like it’s been a year since the Bucs were 2-0 under the leadership of Ryan Fitzpatrick. Since then, things have turned into a disaster. A week after Koetter benched Jameis Winston for throwing four interceptions as the offense scored just nine points in the first half, his team wasn’t any better against Carolina. Tampa Bay started out down 35-7 before scoring another touchdown with 15 seconds left in the half.With the way things have gone, it doesn’t feel like Koetter will be here after the season unless the Buccaneers have a miraculous turnaround. One can dream, right? 3. Mike EvansAs bad as Tampa Bay’s offense was, it couldn’t get its best receiver involved to try and stem the tide. Mike Evans caught just one of his 10 targets for 16 yards against Carolina. for the 6-foot-5 receiver, it was one of the worst games of his career. It was just the third time in his 60 games that Evans has had one or less catch. It was only the fourth time that he’s ever had 16 or fewer yards in a game. While hopefully it was an anomaly, it’s concerning to see Evans have this type of performance against a defense that got picked on by other elite receivers.

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